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Category Archives: est-proj-4


The short-term health and economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic are fairly clear, but the effects on population migration are not. Some recent reports begin to provide insight into the effect on Tennessee migration trends.


New Tennessee birth data shows that despite the state’s growing population, the number of births have remained relatively flat for nearly a decade. We took a look at the factors driving this trend and the state’s falling birth rate.


New population estimates show Tennessee still is the 16th most populous state, but it’s now within 63,000 of No. 15 Massachusetts after growing at a 0.85% rate last year.


The new projections incorporate the latest births, deaths and current population estimates to update the projections last released in 2017.


Based on the change in population between July 1, 2017, and July 1, 2018, nine of the 10 cities with the largest gains were in Middle Tennessee. Murfreesboro and Clarksville were the state’s two fastest-growing cities of 2018. Metropolitan Nashville–Davidson County was third and ranked as the 24th most populous city in the nation.


Population estimates for Tennessee’s 95 counties take center stage in a new dashboard released by the Tennessee State Data Center. It features data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2018 Vintage Population Estimates that were released in April 2019.


New estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau show Tennessee remained the nation’s 16th most populous state for the third year in a row in 2018. Although the state grew by 61,216 people last year, the rate of population growth slowed for the first time in 5 years.